Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? Odds

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.