California Midterm event

California Governor Election Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for California Governor Election Winner.

Xavier Becerra94%price 0.94
Steve Hilton6%price 0.06
Chad Bianco0%price 0.00
Rick Caruso0%price 0.00

Updated Jul 18, 2026, 5:09 AM UTC

Event Data

CategoryCalifornia Midterm
Statusactive
End DateNov 3, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume40.35M
24h Volume91.2K
Liquidity6.63M
Slugcalifornia-governor-election-2026

Resolution

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Xavier Becerra94% probability · price 0.94
Steve Hilton6% probability · price 0.06
Chad Bianco0% probability · price 0.00
Rick Caruso0% probability · price 0.00
Alex Padilla0% probability · price 0.00
Katie Porter0% probability · price 0.00
Antonio Villaraigosa0% probability · price 0.00
Stephen Cloobeck0% probability · price 0.00
Butch Ware0% probability · price 0.00
Betty Yee0% probability · price 0.00
Toni Atkins0% probability · price 0.00
Kyle Langford0% probability · price 0.00
Eleni Kounalakis0% probability · price 0.00
Daniel Mercuri0% probability · price 0.00
Tony Thurmond0% probability · price 0.00
Michael Younger0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.