UK event

Clacton by-election Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Clacton by-election Winner.

Nigel Farage92%price 0.92
Count Binface6%price 0.06
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul0%price 0.00
Andrew Pemberton0%price 0.00

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryUK
Statusactive
End DateJun 30, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
Total Volume1.58M
24h Volume155.48K
Liquidity816.59K
Slugclacton-by-election-winner-20260707143521303

Resolution

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Nigel Farage92% probability · price 0.92
Count Binface6% probability · price 0.06
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul0% probability · price 0.00
Andrew Pemberton0% probability · price 0.00
Giles Watling0% probability · price 0.00
Matthew Bensilum0% probability · price 0.00
Natasha Osben0% probability · price 0.00
Tony Mack0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.