United States event

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028.

Gavin Newsom19%price 0.19
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%price 0.14
Jon Ossoff10%price 0.10
Kamala Harris7%price 0.07

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryUnited States
Statusactive
End DateNov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume1.23B
24h Volume1.12M
Liquidity70.72M
Slugdemocratic-presidential-nominee-2028

Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Gavin Newsom19% probability · price 0.19
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14% probability · price 0.14
Jon Ossoff10% probability · price 0.10
Kamala Harris7% probability · price 0.07
Josh Shapiro5% probability · price 0.05
Pete Buttigieg5% probability · price 0.05
Andy Beshear2% probability · price 0.02
Wes Moore1% probability · price 0.01
Michelle Obama1% probability · price 0.01
Stephen A. Smith1% probability · price 0.01
Mark Cuban1% probability · price 0.01
J.B. Pritzker1% probability · price 0.01
Cory Booker1% probability · price 0.01
Gretchen Whitmer1% probability · price 0.01
Raphael Warnock1% probability · price 0.01
Tim Walz1% probability · price 0.01

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.