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Nuclear event

Iran Nuke before 2027? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Iran Nuke before 2027?.

Yes6%price 0.06
No94%price 0.94

Updated Jul 23, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryNuclear
Statusactive
End DateDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume1.2M
24h Volume4.83K
Liquidity113.2K
Slugiran-nuke-before-2027

Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Yes6% probability · price 0.06
No94% probability · price 0.94

Related Assets

No direct asset mapping is available for this event yet.

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.