Geopolitics event

Netanyahu out by...? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Netanyahu out by...?.

December 3142%price 0.41
July 311%price 0.01

Updated Jul 22, 2026, 3:43 AM UTC

Event Data

CategoryGeopolitics
Statusactive
End DateDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume123.63M
24h Volume73.19K
Liquidity144.27K
Slugnetanyahu-out-before-2027

Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

December 3142% probability · price 0.41
July 311% probability · price 0.01

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.