Ethiopia event

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?.

Abiy Ahmed96%price 0.96
Berhanu Nega1%price 0.01
Belete Molla1%price 0.01
Alesa Mengesha0%price 0.00

Updated Jul 10, 2026, 12:42 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryEthiopia
Statusactive
End DateJun 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume165.14M
24h Volume7.47M
Liquidity192.28K
Slugnext-prime-minister-of-ethiopia

Resolution

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Abiy Ahmed96% probability · price 0.96
Berhanu Nega1% probability · price 0.01
Belete Molla1% probability · price 0.01
Alesa Mengesha0% probability · price 0.00
Demeke Mekonnen0% probability · price 0.00
Shimelis Abdisa0% probability · price 0.00
Adanech Abiebie0% probability · price 0.00
Gedion Timothewos0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.