budget event

Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Next UK Chancellor of the Exchequer in 2026?.

Shabana Mahmood40%price 0.40
Yvette Cooper37%price 0.37
Ed Miliband17%price 0.17
Pat McFadden4%price 0.04

Updated Jul 15, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC

Event Data

Categorybudget
Statusactive
End DateDec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Total Volume896.8K
24h Volume140.87K
Liquidity247.59K
Slugnext-uk-chancellor-of-the-exchequer-in-2026-20260621005319178

Resolution

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Shabana Mahmood40% probability · price 0.40
Yvette Cooper37% probability · price 0.37
Ed Miliband17% probability · price 0.17
Pat McFadden4% probability · price 0.04
Wes Streeting2% probability · price 0.02
No next Chancellor in 20260% probability · price 0.00
Darren Jones0% probability · price 0.00
John Healey0% probability · price 0.00
Louise Haigh0% probability · price 0.00
Torsten Bell0% probability · price 0.00
Miatta Fahnbulleh0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.