Oleksandr Syrskyi out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by...? Odds

This market resolves to “Yes” if Oleksandr Syrskyi’s departure as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Syrskyi has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of r

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