President event

Presidential Election Winner 2028 Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Presidential Election Winner 2028.

JD Vance20%price 0.20
Marco Rubio14%price 0.14
Gavin Newsom12%price 0.12
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%price 0.08

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryPresident
Statusactive
End DateNov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume655.37M
24h Volume1.29M
Liquidity37.53M
Slugpresidential-election-winner-2028

Resolution

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

JD Vance20% probability · price 0.20
Marco Rubio14% probability · price 0.14
Gavin Newsom12% probability · price 0.12
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8% probability · price 0.08
Kamala Harris4% probability · price 0.04
Josh Shapiro3% probability · price 0.03
Pete Buttigieg2% probability · price 0.02
Donald Trump1% probability · price 0.01
Donald Trump Jr.1% probability · price 0.01
Andy Beshear1% probability · price 0.01
Wes Moore1% probability · price 0.01
Glenn Youngkin1% probability · price 0.01
Stephen Smith1% probability · price 0.01
JB Pritzker1% probability · price 0.01
Tulsi Gabbard1% probability · price 0.01
Gretchen Whitmer1% probability · price 0.01

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.