United States event

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Republican Presidential Nominee 2028.

J.D. Vance41%price 0.41
Marco Rubio26%price 0.26
Ron DeSantis2%price 0.02
Donald Trump2%price 0.02

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryUnited States
Statusactive
End DateNov 7, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume671.6M
24h Volume532.33K
Liquidity47.08M
Slugrepublican-presidential-nominee-2028

Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

J.D. Vance41% probability · price 0.41
Marco Rubio26% probability · price 0.26
Ron DeSantis2% probability · price 0.02
Donald Trump2% probability · price 0.02
Donald Trump Jr.1% probability · price 0.01
Vivek Ramaswamy1% probability · price 0.01
Glenn Youngkin1% probability · price 0.01
Tulsi Gabbard1% probability · price 0.01
Greg Abbott1% probability · price 0.01
Nikki Haley1% probability · price 0.01
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1% probability · price 0.01
Brian Kemp1% probability · price 0.01
Josh Hawley1% probability · price 0.01
Sarah Huckabee Sanders1% probability · price 0.01
Byron Donalds1% probability · price 0.01
Elise Stefanik1% probability · price 0.01

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.