Politics event

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Russia Parliamentary Election Winner.

United Russia (ER)96%price 0.96
New People (NL)2%price 0.02
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%price 0.01
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)1%price 0.01

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 4:01 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryPolitics
Statusactive
End DateSep 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume2.67M
24h Volume767.52K
Liquidity755.92K
Slugrussia-parliamentary-election-winner

Resolution

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional p

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

United Russia (ER)96% probability · price 0.96
New People (NL)2% probability · price 0.02
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1% probability · price 0.01
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)1% probability · price 0.01
Civic Platform (GP)0% probability · price 0.00
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)0% probability · price 0.00
Rodina0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.