Politics event

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner.

Darline Graham Nordone69%price 0.69
Ralph Norman21%price 0.20
Russell Fry9%price 0.09
Mark Lynch3%price 0.03

Updated Jul 18, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC

Event Data

CategoryPolitics
Statusactive
End DateAug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume156.17K
24h Volume61.03K
Liquidity361.61K
Slugsouth-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676

Resolution

This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Darline Graham Nordone69% probability · price 0.69
Ralph Norman21% probability · price 0.20
Russell Fry9% probability · price 0.09
Mark Lynch3% probability · price 0.03
Pamela Evette2% probability · price 0.02
Nancy Mace0% probability · price 0.00
Joe Wilson0% probability · price 0.00
Paul Dans0% probability · price 0.00
William Timmons0% probability · price 0.00
Sheri Biggs0% probability · price 0.00
André Bauer0% probability · price 0.00
Alan Wilson0% probability · price 0.00
Scott Bessent0% probability · price 0.00
Trey Gowdy0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.