Main Election event

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?.

Gadi Eizenkot43%price 0.43
Benjamin Netanyahu36%price 0.35
Naftali Bennett10%price 0.10
Avigdor Lieberman3%price 0.03

Updated Jul 15, 2026, 4:21 PM UTC

Event Data

CategoryMain Election
Statusactive
End DateDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume26.91M
24h Volume278.55K
Liquidity1.66M
Slugwho-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election

Resolution

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Gadi Eizenkot43% probability · price 0.43
Benjamin Netanyahu36% probability · price 0.35
Naftali Bennett10% probability · price 0.10
Avigdor Lieberman3% probability · price 0.03
Itamar Ben Gvir1% probability · price 0.01
Yoaz Hendel1% probability · price 0.01
Gideon Sa’ar0% probability · price 0.00
Israel Katz0% probability · price 0.00
Yair Lapid0% probability · price 0.00
Benny Gantz0% probability · price 0.00
Yariv Levin0% probability · price 0.00
Nir Barkat0% probability · price 0.00
Ayelet Shaked0% probability · price 0.00
Yossi Cohen0% probability · price 0.00
Yair Golan0% probability · price 0.00
Moshe Feiglin0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.