Aliens event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Odds
Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?.
Updated Jul 11, 2026, 6:14 PM UTC
Event Data
Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.
Outcomes
Related Assets
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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.