Davos event

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?.

Yes4%price 0.04
No96%price 0.96

Updated Jul 15, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC

Event Data

CategoryDavos
Statusactive
End DateDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume34.87M
24h Volume101.07K
Liquidity227.06K
Slugwill-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027

Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Yes4% probability · price 0.04
No96% probability · price 0.96

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.