Soccer event

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for World Cup: Golden Ball Winner.

Kylian Mbappé41%price 0.41
Lionel Messi32%price 0.32
Erling Haaland10%price 0.10
Harry Kane7%price 0.07

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC

Event Data

CategorySoccer
Statusactive
End DateJul 20, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Total Volume5.04M
24h Volume448.11K
Liquidity1.12M
Slugworld-cup-golden-ball-winner-20260603194031758

Resolution

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Kylian Mbappé41% probability · price 0.41
Lionel Messi32% probability · price 0.32
Erling Haaland10% probability · price 0.10
Harry Kane7% probability · price 0.07
Jude Bellingham6% probability · price 0.06
Michael Olise3% probability · price 0.03
Lamine Yamal2% probability · price 0.02
Ousmane Dembélé1% probability · price 0.01
Rodri0% probability · price 0.00
Pedri0% probability · price 0.00
Vinícius Jr.0% probability · price 0.00
Cristiano Ronaldo0% probability · price 0.00
Rayan Cherki0% probability · price 0.00
Bruno Fernandes0% probability · price 0.00
Vitinha0% probability · price 0.00
Florian Wirtz0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.