2026 FIFA World Cup event

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner Odds

Current market-implied probabilities, liquidity, volume, and resolution details for World Cup: Golden Boot Winner.

Kylian Mbappe45%price 0.45
Lionel Messi37%price 0.37
Erling Haaland11%price 0.11
Jude Bellingham0%price 0.00

Updated Jul 11, 2026, 3:11 PM UTC

Event Data

Category2026 FIFA World Cup
Statusactive
End DateJul 20, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Total Volume53.26M
24h Volume532.1K
Liquidity4.75M
Slugworld-cup-golden-boot-winner

Resolution

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities are market-implied prices. They can move quickly as new information, liquidity, and trader positioning change.

Outcomes

Kylian Mbappe45% probability · price 0.45
Lionel Messi37% probability · price 0.37
Erling Haaland11% probability · price 0.11
Jude Bellingham0% probability · price 0.00
Lamine Yamal0% probability · price 0.00
Noah Okafor0% probability · price 0.00

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Market data and prediction-market prices are for informational purposes only. They are not investment advice and do not guarantee future outcomes.