03Prediction markets
Prediction Market Odds Calculator
Convert a contract price into implied probability, shares, maximum payout, and profit.
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Transparent mathFormula and assumptions included
Market-implied chance42.0%
Contracts / shares238.0952
Decimal odds2.38
Maximum loss$100.00
iMethodology
How this result is calculated
Every result is calculated from the values shown on this page. No hidden market forecast or AI estimate is added.
Change any input and the result updates immediately. Your inputs remain in your browser.
Fees, return, yield, risk, and probability assumptions are shown as inputs instead of hidden in the result.
This calculator is for education and scenario analysis only. It does not account for taxes, slippage, liquidity, or every platform-specific fee.